Showing posts with label stock markets.... Show all posts
Showing posts with label stock markets.... Show all posts

Thursday, July 17, 2008

What I Could Do With My Life- The Way of the Economists

(Pinged, as usual, since I am incapable of writing original things at a stretch, from my blog)

By this time next year, if I have not actually managed to write everything incorrectly in my development paper as my dreams seem to predict, I ought to be a graduate. However, as is almost obvious by the level of intelligence one usually displays on this blogspace, 60.5 percentage of Indian graduates are not employable. All students of Economics immediately fall under this marquee, namely because, when real life does not measure up to theory, we attribute it to errors made by statisticians. In fact, in the blame game, we attribute anything to statisticians if it makes us look good. Marriage between a statistician and an economist is, thus, amongst one of the worst nightmares of a marriage counselor. Of course, most jobs earmarked for graduates do not provide statisticians, resulting in the unemployability of economics students.

Let us form a flowchart in our minds, since I do not know how to create one on blogger. The educational path of a graduate divides automatically into two parts, an MBA or Masters. We will not consider the former in this analysis as I would immediately start weeping uncontrollably if anyone tries to interview me.

A masters degree usually ensures :
The geek tag
A job
Pretty much nothing else

And now we will revert to my favourite form of writing- point wise discussion.


1) I take up the jobDescriptionI have absolutely no idea. There was a vague explanation somewhere which said we wouldhave to predict GDPs and stock market fluctuations. There have also been whispers of bulls and bears. But since I plan to take up Mathematical Economics, questions I would be certainly be incapable of answering in job interviews are:


What do you think will be next year's GDP?
What was last year's GDP?
What is GDP?
What are bulls and bears?
What is a stock market?
What is a stock?
What is macroeconomics?
What is economics?

Pros: I will have money if employed.

Cons: Probably no one will employ me.I would still be clueless regarding what the subject is all about.

2) I get desperate and decide on the Ph.D

This also has different repercussions. So sub dividing the topic

a) I do the Ph.D. and take up a job

Refer above.

b) I stick to researching economical stuff.

Description

No one really knows what economists research, least of all the economists themselves. We begin by trying to find out a correlation between the shininess of a jellyfish and its sexual life (Translated : A jellyfish!! Ooohh pretty!! Do you think it has a girlfriend?) and end up with results on the marital stability of men who own charter boats. We automatically create a model on the basis of our observations and pretend it describes the economic conditions of fishermen.Of course, sometimes, policymakers think the sexual life of jellyfish is exactly what the countries need as a pick-me-up in these times of desolation and degeneration. Hence, Nobel prizes are often awarded randomly to economists on the basis of the prettiness of the paper clips used. So the probable effects of doing research are :

i) I win the Nobel Prize

Pros
I will be famous.
I will be rich.
I will have a model named after me. Palit's theory of monopoly whorism has a nice tang to it.
I can finally be an author, even if to a niche reader base.
I will finally be invited everywhere, and not only because my great-granddad had two many kids, assuring an unending supply of relatives.
I might accidentally figure out what the subject is all about.

Cons
I will be famous.
I will have to give lectures. For which I will have speak slowly and enunciate properly. Something I have never cared for since I was seven.
I will be doomed to either a life of celibacy or multiple divorces.
Every budding economist will hate me.
Someone might figure out my model is actually based on a statistical error.

ii) I do not win the Nobel Prize

Pros
I can still be an author.
If I force Calcutta University to add my book to the recommended texts, the royalties will be decent. But only just.
I can have a blog about Economics and people in love with the subject can read it and have a crush on me.
I can finally be an aantel.

Cons
I would still have to lecture people.

I would probably end up being the vague, scatty professor who always trips while entering the classroom. Also, my students will hate me.
I will be the poor cousin of Nobel prize winners. The only parallel I can think of is being a weatherman-on TV, but only to give the newsreader a break.
I might end up coming back to Presidency and then complain vaguely about the lack of attendance in my class, enabling my HOD to give me gloating looks.
I would only have the option of dating economists, never getting the chance to meet anyone else.
I will have no money.
I may still not be able to figure out what the subject is all about.

This is roughly, the sample space of total possibilities in my chosen career path in the next twenty years or so. Since this has been my first attempt in long term thinking, it probably comes as no surprise that I am in extreme panic mode. However, these make nice blog posts. If anyone can come up with alternative career prospects for me, please mention them in the comments section, and I will analyze them too. Of course, when it comes to choosing, I will probably just draw lots. But that is next year's tale.

Wednesday, May 28, 2008

Investing in the Stock Market

So you love making money?! Nothing wrong, in fact everything is right!! Everyone looks at making money from the NASDAQ. And that is why you should be careful with your hard earned money!

It is good that unlike many people in the developing worlds, you do not think that stock markets are a gamble, but at times, you have to learn to be a little risk averse from them. With the American economy slowing down considerably, it is of prime importance to know which the safer stocks are that you can invest in, in spite of their prices being on the lower end.

Portfolio analysts are making a lot of money these days. And why not? You are paying them to let them take a call on your behalf. In fact that is a good thing that you do- a lot better than losing up money. But for those of you who want to handle situations alone, we make some noteworthy points:

 Try not to buy and sell at the very opening of the market. The market is in general a lot more volatile during the first thirty minutes of trade.
 Do not buy a stock unless you are sure of when you want to sell it.
 If you are in the market, you should know about having margin accounts. However, having such an account and using them are two different things. Try not to use them unless you know how to handle them and keep yourself out of trouble.
 Stop loss orders are a must if you do not want to lose money. Keep increasing the limit of the stop loss as you gain more money and experience.
 Consider all the external factors that could affect the market. The recent earthquake in China or a flood in some state of India can affect the market rates in such a globalized market. Infact, China and India are two economies you should keep note of in the view of emerging markets.
 With the US economy in a slump, it is advisable to invest in foreign markets that do not have much to trade with the US and will be the least affected and do not have much of trade with the US.

As a final note, as they popularly say, both bulls and bears make money, only the hogs lose out! So, do not hog… money is sure to flow in if your basics are right!